Lets be honest, buying Crude for Geopolitical reasons has been a terrible trade recently.
Given the recent escalation in the Middle East, we set out to analyse all possible scenarios regarding the Oil Price. For this, we had to bring out the heavy artillery (pun intended) and test our proprietary Generative AI, ShrubGPT, in a strategy that we will affectionately call MAAS™ = Meme-As-A-Strategy.
Here it goes:
“ShrubGPT, please generate a Meme that calculates the Oil Price under various scenarios in the Middle East. To make it more fun and memorable for traders with ADHD, please use Star Wars references: portray the Houthis as the Tusken Raiders and Iran as Jabba the Hut”
ShrubGPT: “Here you go”
Basically, the Oil equation is pretty simple right now:
If trouble is confined in Israel / Lebanon —> Oil is in a $60-70 range
If trouble picks up in the Red Sea again —> Oil is in a $70-80 range
If trouble expands to the Persian Gulf —> Oil is in a $80-100 range *
* The equivalent of c.20% of global Oil consumption passes from the Strait of Hormuz!
Lets hope things don’t escalate, but Hope is Not A Strategy so at least we are prepared for all outcomes, even if it’s just with a Meme!
Disclaimer:
This isn’t financial advice. This is the equivalent of Monty Python for finance but worse: This is the trading blog of a shrub.
Don’t be Stupid. Seriously. How many times do I have to repeat this ….
We give “谢谢”
11/10